Simulated Season #3: The Thiiiiiiiirrrrrrrrd

  

Our third simulated season follows the recently announced week-by-week schedule, and again uses a random number generator to decide the winner of each game. Each team's range of numbers used in this simulation has been updated based on performance at Satellite #1 and other information coming in.

Simulated Standings
Garcia Division W L
 El Diablos 2 19 19
 Ducks 3 17 11
 Belgian Wiffles 0 12 16
 Islanders 0 6 22
Ringler Division W L
 Wicked Aces 1 22 6
 Westside Warriors 4 15 13
 Holy Balls 0 13 15
 King Friday 0 8 20
30 - 34
One team who benefits from the updates, to no one's surprise, is Belgian Wiffles. Their 12-16 finish is their best so far. It puts them in sixth place, just one win shy of fifth, and three wins out of the playoffs. Belgian is the only team to show better in each subsequent simulation: jumping from 5 to 10 wins, now to 12. This echoes the real-life scenario of the team, wherein those around the league are starting to see a real competitor there.

The Ducks rebound from a poor showing in the last simulation with 17 wins and making the playoffs as the third seed. Unlike Belgian, this outcome seems to run counter to popular opinion after the Ducks were bounced out of Satellite #1 without a win, and questions arose regarding the supposed dominance of their pitching. However, I'd wager this result is perfect for the Ducks, as history has shown us we should expect this team to surge back after a poor performance.

Once again the Wicked Aces finish with the Ringler Pennant and best regular season record; this time at 22-6, the best record seen yet in a simulation. For the second straight simulation, though, they fail to win the WSEM Championship. The team to beat them was again El Diablos, who also won the Garcia Division for the second consecutive time. El Diablos also finished the season with their best record yet: 19-9. These two teams are the preseason favorites, so it is no surprise to see simulated dynasties forming for the pair of them.

Meanwhile, both the Westside Warriors and Holy Balls took a one-game step back this time. That slipped the former from the third seed to fourth, sending them to Poolside Park for their first round series, and cost the latter a playoff berth. The Warriors still remain above .500 (15-13), though, while the Balls fall below .500 (13-15) for the first time. This can be directly attributed to the Warriors winning the head-to-head season series 3-1.

The biggest moves this simulation belong to King Friday and the Islanders. Both won four less games than previously, which pushed them down to 7th and 8th place, respectively.

No Home Field Advantage in Random Numbers

Five teams own .500 records or better at home, but only the Holy Balls managed more wins at home than they did on the road (7 at home, 6 on the road). Additionally, only the Islanders came away with an equal number of home and road wins.


Seeding by Simulation
 Sim 1   Sim 2   Sim 3 
Wicked Aces 2 1^ 1^
El Diablos 3 2^* 2^*
Ducks 1^ 5 3
Westside Warriors 4 3 4
Holy Balls 5 4 5
King Friday 6 6 7
Belgian Wiffles 8 8 6
Islanders 7 7 8
  ^ Pennant
  * Championship
Record by Simulation
 Sim 1   Sim 2   Sim 3   OA 
W L W L W L W L
Wicked Aces 20 8 19 9 22 6 61 23
El Diablos 18 10 18 10 19 9 55 29
Ducks 20 8 13 15 17 11 50 34
Westside Warriors 15 13 16 12 15 13 46 38
Holy Balls 14 14 14 14 13 15 41 43
King Friday 13 15 12 16 8 20 33 51
Belgian Wiffles 5 23 10 18 12 16 27 57
Islanders 7 21 10 18 6 22 23 61

1 comment:

  1. A Wicked Aces vs. El Diablos Championship would be an instant classic!

    ReplyDelete

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