For the second simulation I modified the numerical values used. Instead of the simple 1 through 8 scheme, I went with an EA Sports-esque rating out of 100 for each team based on an average of pitching, hitting, and fielding. The lowest rating came in at 69, the highest at 92. As before, the two numbers were added together and the road team was given the set of numbers from one to their rating; the home team then took the remaining numbers. Compared to the first simulation there is a much smaller gap between team records from top to bottom this time. Overall, though, the results do not change much. Three teams - Aces, El Diablos, and Westside Warriors - that were in the top four last time again find themselves in the playoffs. Also, once again placing 8th, 7th and 6th, respectively, are the Belgian Wiffles, Islanders (head-to-head tiebreaker over Belgian), and King Friday. The one big difference in the outcome is one of two things that makes Carl look like a genius.
On the last Podcast Carl was certain that the Ducks will have a repeat of their rough 2012 season, while I took the stance they will return to the elite of the league in 2013. Well, according to this simulation, Carl nailed it. They fall from first place (20-8) in the last simulation to 13-15, and miss the playoffs. Carl also correctly gauged the Warriors, while I seem to have underrated them. Carl said they will outperform the Ducks. They did here. In fact, the record he cited was 16-12; exactly what the Warriors put up, which is good enough for the third seed.
The second thing Carl schools me on in this simulation is calling that Ringler will be the stronger of the two divisions. I have gone on record stating I am certain Garcia will win the season series, and still stand by that. For the moment, though, I look like the fool. Sounds easy to tie together being wrong about the balance of power with the swap of the Ducks and Warriors in the standings, however, the Ducks were the only Garcia team to have a winning record (9-7) against Ringler teams. So, I cannot pin my wrongness entirely on the Ducks.
The best thing that makes this simulation different from the first, though, has nothing to do with Carl being smart or me being an idiot. We get to simulate the playoffs this time!
The Wicked Aces claim the number-one seed winning the Ringler pennant with a 19-9 record. El Diablos win the Garcia pennant and second seed repeating their 18-10 record from the first simulation, pitting them against the third seeded Westside Warriors. The Holy Balls reprise their 14-14 record, but this time sneak into the fourth slot ahead of the Ducks to face the Aces in the first round.
In the 1 vs. 4 series, the Holy Balls go down to Poolside Park and take the first game from the Aces. The Aces respond, however, winning the next two games to advance to the Championship Series. El Diablos take advantage of home field at Pervis Memorial and sweep the Warriors in two games, moving on to challenge the defending champions in a best of five.
Pervis Memorial hosts the first two games. The Aces come out strong and take game one, but El Diablos respond taking game two and sending the teams to Poolside Park with the series even at a game a piece. The Aces are hard to beat at home, but El Diablos keep the momentum rolling on the road and take games three and four. Once again making a first-year team WSEM Champion!
| Simulated Standings | ||||||||
| Garcia Division | W | L | ||||||
| El Diablos 2 | 18 | 10 | ||||||
| Ducks | 13 | 15 | ||||||
| Islanders 0 | 10 | 18 | ||||||
| Belgian Wiffles 0 | 10 | 18 | ||||||
| Ringler Division | W | L | ||||||
| Wicked Aces 1 | 19 | 9 | ||||||
| Westside Warriors 3 | 16 | 12 | ||||||
| Holy Balls 4 | 14 | 14 | ||||||
| King Friday 0 | 12 | 16 | ||||||
|
||||||||
The second thing Carl schools me on in this simulation is calling that Ringler will be the stronger of the two divisions. I have gone on record stating I am certain Garcia will win the season series, and still stand by that. For the moment, though, I look like the fool. Sounds easy to tie together being wrong about the balance of power with the swap of the Ducks and Warriors in the standings, however, the Ducks were the only Garcia team to have a winning record (9-7) against Ringler teams. So, I cannot pin my wrongness entirely on the Ducks.
The best thing that makes this simulation different from the first, though, has nothing to do with Carl being smart or me being an idiot. We get to simulate the playoffs this time!
The Wicked Aces claim the number-one seed winning the Ringler pennant with a 19-9 record. El Diablos win the Garcia pennant and second seed repeating their 18-10 record from the first simulation, pitting them against the third seeded Westside Warriors. The Holy Balls reprise their 14-14 record, but this time sneak into the fourth slot ahead of the Ducks to face the Aces in the first round.
In the 1 vs. 4 series, the Holy Balls go down to Poolside Park and take the first game from the Aces. The Aces respond, however, winning the next two games to advance to the Championship Series. El Diablos take advantage of home field at Pervis Memorial and sweep the Warriors in two games, moving on to challenge the defending champions in a best of five.
Pervis Memorial hosts the first two games. The Aces come out strong and take game one, but El Diablos respond taking game two and sending the teams to Poolside Park with the series even at a game a piece. The Aces are hard to beat at home, but El Diablos keep the momentum rolling on the road and take games three and four. Once again making a first-year team WSEM Champion!
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
No comments:
Post a Comment
Please, sign your name to your comments.